Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Tyler Lockett

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Lockett

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Baltimore Ravens vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:26 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 48.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Seahawks are underdogs in this game, indicating more of an emphasis on passing than their usual approach.
Given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to pass on 63.0% of their downs: the 6th-highest rate on the slate this week.
To the extent of a defense's effect on tempo, at 27.60 seconds per play, our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks as the 10th-fastest in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time.
Opposing teams have averaged 40.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Ravens defense this year: 3rd-most in the NFL.
In this contest, Tyler Lockett is forecasted by the model to secure a spot in the 86th percentile when it comes to WRs with 8.3 targets.

Favors Under

Tyler Lockett's 8.1 adjusted yards per target this season shows a significant decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 9.6 rate.
Tyler Lockett has been one of the worst WRs in the league at generating extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.49 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 17th percentile.
This year, the tough Ravens defense has yielded a puny 140.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 8th-fewest in the league.
This year, the stout Ravens defense has given up the least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing wideouts: a measly 6.3 yards.
The Baltimore Ravens safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in football this year in covering receivers.

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