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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

New York Giants vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 51.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Seattle Seahawks to be the 8th-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.3% pass rate.
  • Calm weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically mean better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced ground volume.
  • The predictive model expects Tyler Lockett to accumulate 7.8 targets in this game, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
  • When talking about air yards, Tyler Lockett ranks in the towering 89th percentile among WRs since the start of last season, accumulating an impressive 84.0 per game.
  • Tyler Lockett's 57.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 85th percentile for wideouts.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks to run the fewest offensive plays among all teams this week with 63.5 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.2 pass attempts per game against the New York Giants defense since the start of last season: 8th-fewest in the NFL.
  • Tyler Lockett's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Completion% decreasing from 75.8% to 62.3%.
  • Tyler Lockett's receiving effectiveness has tailed off this season, totaling a measly 5.49 yards-per-target vs a 9.55 mark last season.
  • The Giants pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Completion% in the league (64.5%) to wide receivers since the start of last season (64.5%).

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