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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Seattle Seahawks vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 53.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 54.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 53.5 @ -125.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Seahawks to be the 7th-most pass-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 63.7% pass rate.
  • The pass games of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the still weather conditions (2-mph wind) being called for in this game, while run volume may go down.
  • In this week's contest, Tyler Lockett is predicted by the projection model to rank in the 84th percentile among wide receivers with 7.7 targets.
  • With a sizeable 23.5% Target% (86th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett rates among the wide receivers with the highest volume in football.
  • Tyler Lockett has put up a colossal 85.0 air yards per game this year: 85th percentile among wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Seahawks being a 4.5-point favorite this week.
  • Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are predicted by the projections to run only 62.0 offensive plays in this contest: the lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The 6th-lowest number of plays in the league have been called by the Seattle Seahawks this year (a lowly 55.5 per game on average).
  • Opposing QBs have averaged 34.7 pass attempts per game versus the Steelers defense this year: 9th-fewest in football.
  • Tyler Lockett's 70.4% Adjusted Catch% this year signifies a material decline in his receiving proficiency over last year's 75.8% figure.

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