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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-110/-110).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

An extreme throwing game script is implied by the Seahawks being a heavy -7-point underdog in this game.

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Seahawks to pass on 63.9% of their opportunities: the 5th-highest clip among all teams this week.

Opposing offenses have averaged 39.4 pass attempts per game against the 49ers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.

In this contest, Tyler Lockett is forecasted by the model to place in the 89th percentile among WRs with 8.2 targets.

With an impressive 23.4% Target Rate (86th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett ranks among the wideouts with the highest volume in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Seattle Seahawks are anticipated by the model to run just 61.5 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 8th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a measly 56.0 plays per game.

Tyler Lockett's 8.1 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a noteworthy drop-off in his pass-catching proficiency over last year's 9.6 figure.

With a bad 2.94 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (25th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett rates among the best pass-catching WRs in football in picking up extra yardage.

The 49ers pass defense has been quite strong when opposing wide receivers have gotten into space, allowing an average of 3.38 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 5th-fewest in the NFL.

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