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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 49.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 56.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 49.5 @ -105.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The leading projections forecast the Seahawks as the 8th-most pass-heavy team on the slate this week with a 60.6% pass rate, given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offense has played at the 9th-fastest pace in the league (adjusted for context) this year, averaging 26.93 seconds per snap.
  • In this contest, Tyler Lockett is anticipated by the model to place in the 90th percentile when it comes to wideouts with 8.2 targets.
  • With an elite 23.9% Target Rate (87th percentile) this year, Tyler Lockett has been among the wideouts with the biggest workloads in the league.
  • Tyler Lockett has posted significantly more air yards this year (87.0 per game) than he did last year (82.0 per game).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Tyler Lockett's 8.2 adjusted yards per target this season reflects a significant decline in his receiving prowess over last season's 9.6 rate.
  • Tyler Lockett rates as one of the worst wideouts in the NFL at picking up extra yardage, averaging a measly 2.87 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while grading out in the 23rd percentile.
  • This year, the tough Los Angeles Rams defense has conceded a meager 58.9% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing wideouts: the 3rd-best rate in the league.
  • The Rams pass defense has exhibited good efficiency vs. wideouts this year, allowing 7.35 adjusted yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-fewest in football.

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