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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 15

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -130.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to notch 8.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
  • Tyler Lockett's 57.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 85th percentile for wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
  • Tyler Lockett has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
  • The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.95 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the league.
  • The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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