Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tyler Lockett

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Lockett

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs San Francisco 49ers · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 16, 2022 12:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 63.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 63.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Seahawks are a 3.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 62.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 37.5 pass attempts per game versus the San Francisco 49ers defense this year: 6th-most in football.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to notch 8.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 88th percentile among WRs.
Tyler Lockett's 57.2 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 85th percentile for wide receivers.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the 6th-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.5 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Seattle Seahawks have called the 3rd-least plays in football this year, averaging just 53.8 plays per game.
Tyler Lockett has accumulated quite a few less air yards this season (85.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
The San Francisco 49ers pass defense has excelled when opposing wideouts have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.95 yards-after-the-catch this year: the 7th-least in the league.
The San Francisco 49ers linebackers rank as the best group of LBs in the league this year in covering receivers.

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