Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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NFL · Player Props

Tyler Lockett

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 63.5 (+100/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 63.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks as the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the NFL (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 63.6% pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 9th-fastest paced team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.38 seconds per snap.
The forecast calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to accrue 7.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 83rd percentile among WRs.
Tyler Lockett has been among the best pass-catching WRs this year, averaging a stellar 64.0 yards per game while grading out in the 84th percentile.

Favors Under

The Seahawks are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
Tyler Lockett has put up significantly fewer air yards this season (83.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
Tyler Lockett's 56.4 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume metric that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially lower this year than it was last year at 63.7.
The Los Angeles Rams pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks just 2.37 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 4th-quickest in the NFL since the start of last season.
The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.