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Tyler Lockett
NFL · Player Props
Tyler Lockett
WR · Seattle Seahawks
Receiving Yards
Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 12, 2022 Updated Nov 28, 2022 12:11 AM UTC
NFL Props Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-140/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -140.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks to be the 9th-most pass-oriented offense in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 63.0% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.52 seconds per play.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to garner 7.8 targets in this game, on average, putting him in the 85th percentile among wideouts.
  • Tyler Lockett's 57.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for wide receivers.
  • The Seattle Seahawks O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.
Favors Under
  • The Seahawks are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • Tyler Lockett has totaled far fewer air yards this season (81.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
  • Tyler Lockett has been among the weakest WRs in the league at picking up extra yardage, averaging a mere 3.13 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 21st percentile.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.
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