Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Tyler Lockett

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Lockett

WR · Seattle Seahawks

Receiving Yards

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 10, 2022

Updated Nov 13, 2022 2:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Lockett Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects this game to have the highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 137.9 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weatherman calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to notch 8.5 targets in this contest, on average, ranking in the 87th percentile among wide receivers.
Tyler Lockett's 59.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the league leaders: 88th percentile for WRs.
The Seattle Seahawks offensive line ranks as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in pass protection, which has a strong impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

Favors Under

The Seattle Seahawks have run the 4th-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 54.9 plays per game.
Tyler Lockett has put up quite a few less air yards this season (84.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
Tyler Lockett has been among the bottom wideouts in football at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a lowly 3.14 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while checking in at the 24th percentile.
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has allowed the 2nd-lowest Completion% in football (60.8%) vs. wideouts this year (60.8%).
The Tampa Bay Buccaneers pass defense has shown good efficiency against wide receivers this year, giving up 6.95 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the NFL.

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