My Account Log Out
 
 
Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 6

Seattle Seahawks vs Arizona Cardinals

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+160/-200).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 10th-quickest paced team in the league (adjusted for context) at the moment, averaging 27.62 seconds per play.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Tyler Lockett to be much more involved in his team's pass game near the end zone this week (19.2% projected Red Zone Target Share) than he has been this year (11.8% in games he has played).
  • Tyler Lockett has compiled significantly more air yards this season (105.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
  • Tyler Lockett's 66.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) puts him in the company of the best in football: 91st percentile for wide receivers.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Arizona Cardinals defense has given up the 4th-least TDs through the air in football to wideouts: 0.40 per game this year.
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass rush has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks a measly 2.44 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 10th-fastest in the NFL since the start of last season.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on just 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Keeping an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have gone for it on 4th down a lowly 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which typically means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive statistics across the board.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have incorporated motion in their offense on 28.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (5th-least in the league), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™