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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 14

Seattle Seahawks vs Carolina Panthers

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+132/-180).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +137 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +132.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Tyler Lockett's 57.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the league: 86th percentile for WRs.
  • Tyler Lockett's ball-catching skills have improved this year, with his Completion% rising from 69.4% to 76.8%.
  • Tyler Lockett grades out in the 95th percentile among WRs when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging an impressive 0.58 per game.
  • The Carolina Panthers pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in the NFL (71.5%) vs. wideouts this year (71.5%).
  • The Carolina Panthers cornerbacks rank as the 5th-worst unit in football this year in pass coverage.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Seahawks are a 3.5-point favorite in this game, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 126.8 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the 5th-least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 54.2 plays per game.
  • Tyler Lockett has posted far fewer air yards this season (83.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).
  • The Carolina Panthers defense has surrendered the 5th-least passing touchdowns in football to WRs: 0.67 per game this year.

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