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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 12

Seattle Seahawks vs Las Vegas Raiders

Tyler Lockett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+157/-221).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +161 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +157.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Seattle Seahawks offense to be the 10th-fastest paced team in football (context-neutralized) at the moment, averaging 27.52 seconds per play.

Tyler Lockett's 57.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume stat that measures high-value offensive involvement) ranks among the best in the NFL: 85th percentile for wide receivers.

The Seattle Seahawks O-line profiles as the 7th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive impact on all air attack statistics across the board.

Tyler Lockett's possession skills have gotten better this season, with his Completion% jumping from 69.4% to 80.2%.

Tyler Lockett grades out in the 92nd percentile among wideouts when it comes to catching touchdowns this year, averaging a terrific 0.50 per game.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Seahawks are a 4-point favorite in this week's game, indicating a rushing game script.

Tyler Lockett has totaled far fewer air yards this season (81.0 per game) than he did last season (100.0 per game).

The Seattle Seahawks have faced a stacked the box on a measly 11.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 4th-least in the league. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

The Seattle Seahawks have risked going for it on 4th down a mere 8.7% of the time since the start of last season (least in football), which generally means less offensive volume, less touchdown potential, and lower offensive stats across the board.

The Seattle Seahawks have used motion in their offense on 28.2% of their play-calls since the start of last season (5th-least in football), which usually makes an offense more predictable and less effective.

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