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Tyler Lockett

Tyler Lockett Receiving TD
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Denver Broncos

 
 
 
Tyler Lockett Receiving TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (+221/-343).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +275 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ +221.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Seahawks are a 6.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The weather forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
  • Tyler Lockett has totaled a colossal 100.0 air yards per game since the start of last season: 96th percentile among wide receivers.
  • Tyler Lockett's 63.7 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) grades out among the best in the league: 92nd percentile for wideouts.
  • Tyler Lockett grades out in the 93rd percentile among wide receivers as it relates to catching touchdowns since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 0.50 per game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Seahawks to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.3 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
  • The Seattle Seahawks have called the least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, totaling a lowly 55.6 plays per game.
  • Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 31.9 pass attempts per game against the Denver Broncos defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in football.
  • The Seattle Seahawks offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in protecting the passer, which has a harmful impact on all passing attack stats across the board.
  • The Denver Broncos pass defense has surrendered the 5th-lowest Completion% in football (61.1%) to wideouts since the start of last season (61.1%).

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