Tyler Kroft Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Tyler Kroft

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Kroft

TE · San Francisco 49ers

Receptions

San Francisco 49ers vs Seattle Seahawks · Week 2, 2022

Updated Sep 18, 2022 8:05 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Kroft Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-130/+100).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.8 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 4th-most in the league.
Tyler Kroft has run a route on 51.3% of his offense's dropbacks since the start of last season, placing him in the 80th percentile among TEs.
The San Francisco 49ers offensive line ranks as the 4th-best in the league since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Seattle Seahawks pass defense has conceded the highest Completion% in football (78.5%) vs. TEs since the start of last season (78.5%).
The Seattle Seahawks safeties project as the 4th-worst group of safeties in the league since the start of last season in covering receivers.

Favors Under

The 49ers are a giant 8.5-point favorite this week, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the San Francisco 49ers to be the least pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 44.6% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The San Francisco 49ers have run the 8th-least plays in the league since the start of last season, averaging a lowly 60.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 20-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
Tyler Kroft has been among the most unreliable receivers in football among TEs, completing just 60.0% of balls thrown his way since the start of last season, grading out in the 11th percentile.

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