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Tyler Johnson

Tyler Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Los Angeles Rams vs Green Bay Packers

Tyler Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-103/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Rams to call the 5th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.3 plays, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.

The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means higher pass volume, and reduced rush volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 34.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 10th-most in football.

Tyler Johnson is positioned as one of the best wideouts in the NFL at grinding out extra yardage, averaging a remarkable 8.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 98th percentile.

This year, the deficient Packers defense has given up a colossal 165.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing WRs: the 8th-most in football.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

When it comes to protecting the passer (and the impact it has on all passing offense stats), the O-line of the Los Angeles Rams ranks as the 3rd-worst in the NFL this year.

With a bad 6.3 adjusted yards per target (22nd percentile) this year, Tyler Johnson rates as one of the weakest WRs in the NFL in the league.

The Green Bay Packers safeties rank as the 5th-best safety corps in football this year in covering receivers.

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