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Tyler Johnson

Tyler Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 4

Chicago Bears vs Los Angeles Rams

Tyler Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 26.5 @ -111 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -114.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this game is anticipated by our trusted projection set to have 133.3 plays on offense called: the most among all games this week.

The Los Angeles Rams have run the 8th-most plays in football since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 59.7 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 36.4 pass attempts per game versus the Chicago Bears defense since the start of last season: 5th-most in the league.

With a remarkable 8.10 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (91st percentile) this year, Tyler Johnson ranks among the leading pass-catching WRs in football in the open field.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 6th-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the league since the start of last season, which ought to result in lower pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced pass game effectiveness when facing windier weather this week.

The weather report calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and increased run volume) and decreased passing efficiency.

The Bears defense has allowed the 8th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 130.0) vs. WRs since the start of last season.

Since the start of last season, the imposing Bears defense has allowed the 6th-least adjusted yards-per-target in football to opposing wide receivers: a paltry 7.5 yards.

The Chicago Bears safeties rank as the 10th-best unit in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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