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Tyler Johnson

Tyler Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Arizona Cardinals vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 34.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 34.5 @ -108.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 7th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 61.2% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • The 3rd-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Rams since the start of last season (a colossal 60.7 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
  • Since the start of last season, the porous Cardinals pass defense has allowed a colossal 69.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the 5th-worst rate in the league.
  • When it comes to safeties in covering receivers, Arizona's unit has been lousy since the start of last season, ranking as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Opposing quarterbacks teams have been disinclined to pass too much against the Arizona Cardinals, totaling the 2nd-fewest attempts in the NFL (a measly 29.4 per game) since the start of last season.
  • The Cardinals pass defense has excelled when opposing WRs have gotten into space, surrendering an average of 3.75 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 3rd-fewest in the league.

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