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Tyler Johnson

Tyler Johnson Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Los Angeles Rams vs Miami Dolphins

Tyler Johnson Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-109).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Still weather conditions (like the 0-mph wind being projected in this game) generally correlate with increased passing effectiveness, increased TD potential, increased air volume, and lower run volume.

Tyler Johnson checks in as one of the leading wideouts in the league at grinding out extra yardage, averaging an impressive 7.61 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year while ranking in the 94th percentile.

The Dolphins pass defense has surrendered the highest Adjusted Completion% in football (70.3%) to WRs this year (70.3%).

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Miami's unit has been easily exploitable this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect this game to see the lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Opposing QBs have averaged 30.8 pass attempts per game versus the Dolphins defense this year: fewest in the league.

While Tyler Johnson has accounted for 9.9% of his offense's targets in games he has played this year, the leading projections forecast him to be much less involved in Los Angeles's pass game in this week's game at 3.5%.

The Los Angeles O-line ranks as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

The Miami Dolphins defense has allowed the 5th-fewest adjusted receiving yards per game in football (just 122.0) to wide receivers this year.

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