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Tyler Huntley

Tyler Huntley TD Passes
Player Prop Week 7

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tyler Huntley TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-188/+142).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +158 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +142.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Dolphins may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Tyler Huntley.
  • This week's line implies a passing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The model projects the Dolphins to be the 5th-least pass-oriented offense in the league (in a neutral context) at the present time with a 57.2% pass rate.
  • Tyler Huntley has attempted a mere 13.3 passes per game since the start of last season, grading out in the 23rd percentile when it comes to QBs.
  • In regards to pass-blocking (and the impact it has on all passing game statistics), the offensive line of the Miami Dolphins profiles as the 6th-worst in football this year.
  • Tyler Huntley's 58.1% Adjusted Completion% this season signifies a significant regression in his passing precision over last season's 64.3% rate.
  • As it relates to cornerbacks in pass coverage, Indianapolis's collection of CBs has been excellent this year, ranking as the 7th-best in the league.

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