Tyler Huntley TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 16

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Tyler Huntley

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Huntley

QB · Baltimore Ravens

TD Passes

Baltimore Ravens vs Atlanta Falcons · Week 16, 2022

Updated Dec 25, 2022 12:16 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Huntley TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-185/+140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +168 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens offensive line grades out as the 2nd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a strong effect on all air attack metrics across the board.
The Atlanta Falcons defense has yielded the 9th-most touchdowns through the air in football: 1.57 per game this year.
The Atlanta Falcons safeties grade out as the 6th-worst group of safeties in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
The Baltimore Ravens have utilized play action on 29.2% of their passing plays since the start of last season (8th-most in the league), causing the defense to bite on the run and resulting in much higher passing production.

Favors Under

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this game, likely creating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 45.4% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 9th-least pass-oriented team in football near the end zone (context-neutralized) right now with a 54.0% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 122.2 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The forecast calls for 16-mph wind in this game. High wind usually means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and worse passing efficiency.

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