Tyler Huntley TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tyler Huntley

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Huntley

QB · Baltimore Ravens

TD Passes

Cleveland Browns vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 18, 2022 1:01 AM EST

Analysis

Tyler Huntley TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-225/+170).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -210 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -225.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens will be rolling out backup QB Tyler Huntley in this week's contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Ravens are a 3-point underdog in this game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Baltimore Ravens offensive line profiles as the 6th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a strong impact on all air attack stats across the board.
Tyler Huntley's throwing accuracy has been refined this year, with his Completion% jumping from 68.9% to 78.9%.
The Cleveland Browns safeties grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of safeties in the league this year in pass coverage.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 4th-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 49.8% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens as the 6th-least pass-heavy team in the league near the goal line (context-neutralized) at the present time with a 53.4% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 2nd-least plays run out of all the games this week at 124.6 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind generally means lower pass volume (and higher run volume) and decreased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Huntley to attempt 28.1 passes in this week's game, on average: the 3rd-least of all quarterbacks.

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