Tyler Huntley TD Passes - Player Prop Bet Week 14

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Huntley

QB · Baltimore Ravens

TD Passes

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Baltimore Ravens · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 8:21 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Huntley TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-275/+200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -275 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +200.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Baltimore Ravens will be forced to use backup QB Tyler Huntley in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Baltimore Ravens O-line profiles as the 5th-best in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a strong effect on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Tyler Huntley has been among the most on-target quarterbacks in the league since the start of last season with an impressive 70.9% Completion%, checking in at the 94th percentile.
The Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed the 3rd-most TDs through the air in the league: 1.92 per game this year.
The Pittsburgh Steelers have stacked the box versus opponents on 21.0% of their plays since the start of last season, 6th-most in the NFL. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 7th-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 52.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Baltimore Ravens to be the 8th-least pass-oriented team in the NFL near the goal line (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 54.7% red zone pass rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Ravens to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Huntley to attempt 29.7 passes in this week's contest, on average: the least of all QBs.
Tyler Huntley has been among the worst TD passers in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a terrible 0.38 per game while ranking in the 11th percentile.