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Tyler Huntley

Tyler Huntley Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Indianapolis Colts vs Miami Dolphins

 
 
 
Tyler Huntley Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 28.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The model projects the Dolphins to be the 5th-most run-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 42.8% run rate.
  • The predictive model expects this game to see the 5th-most plays run out of all the games this week at 130.2 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Miami Dolphins this year (a monstrous 62.8 per game on average).
  • The projections expect Tyler Huntley to earn 2.8 carries in this week's game, on average: the 9th-fewest out of all QBs.
  • The leading projections forecast Tyler Huntley to be a much bigger part of his offense's running game in this week's contest (17.5% projected Carry Share) than he has been since the start of last season (6.3% in games he has played).

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Dolphins may lean on the pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) as a result of being be forced to utilize backup QB Tyler Huntley.
  • This week's line implies a passing game script for the Dolphins, who are -3-point underdogs.
  • This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • Tyler Huntley's ground effectiveness has worsened this season, totaling just 3.86 adjusted yards-per-carry vs a 5.12 rate last season.
  • With a lousy rate of 0.64 yards-after-contact (19th percentile), Tyler Huntley rates among the bottom rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.

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