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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receptions
Player Prop Week 20

Philadelphia Eagles vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+120/-150).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +135 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this game, implying more of an emphasis on moving the ball through the air than their normal game plan.
  • Tyler Higbee has run a route on 73.1% of his team's dropbacks since the start of last season, ranking him in the 87th percentile among TEs.
  • Tyler Higbee's receiving reliability have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 69.3% to 73.4%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to pass on 54.9% of their plays: the 3rd-lowest clip among all teams this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Los Angeles Rams are projected by the projections to call just 64.5 total plays in this contest: the 3rd-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • Opposing teams have averaged 29.3 pass attempts per game against the Philadelphia Eagles defense this year: fewest in the league.
  • In regards to pass protection (and the significance it has on all passing offense stats), the offensive line of the Los Angeles Rams grades out as the worst in football this year.
  • Tyler Higbee's pass-catching performance worsened this season, compiling just 2.0 adjusted receptions vs 3.1 last season.

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