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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receptions
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Rams vs Arizona Cardinals

Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-135/+105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The passing games of both teams (in terms of both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (0-mph wind) being projected in this game, while rush volume may fall-off.

With a remarkable 78.3% Route Participation Rate (93rd percentile) since the start of last season, Tyler Higbee has been as one of the tight ends with the biggest workloads in the league.

Tyler Higbee ranks as one of the leading pass-game tight ends since the start of last season, averaging an outstanding 2.9 adjusted receptions per game while ranking in the 77th percentile.

This year, the porous Arizona Cardinals pass defense has given up a massive 78.9% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the 7th-largest rate in football.

When it comes to linebackers in defending pass-catchers, Arizona's unit has been lousy this year, grading out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is suggested by the Rams being a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is projected by the predictive model to have just 127.7 offensive plays run: the 4th-lowest number out of all the games this week.

Opposing teams teams have been unwilling to lean on the pass against the Cardinals, averaging the 10th-fewest attempts in football (just 33.0 per game) this year.

The Rams offensive line profiles as the 4th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all air attack metrics across the board.

Tyler Higbee rates as one of the least sure-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends, hauling in just 69.8% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) since the start of last season, ranking in the 20th percentile.

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