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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

Dallas Cowboys vs Los Angeles Rams

Tyler Higbee Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +120 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -6.5-point disadvantage, the Rams are underdogs in this game, indicating more of a focus on throwing than their typical approach.

The predictive model expects the Rams to be the 3rd-most pass-focused team on the slate this week with a 64.3% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The 6th-highest number of plays in the league have been run by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a colossal 61.7 per game on average).

The passing games of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop.

Tyler Higbee's 85.4% Route% this season illustrates a meaningful progression in his pass attack workload over last season's 69.7% rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Rams to call the 9th-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 63.3 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 28.2 pass attempts per game versus the Cowboys defense this year: 2nd-fewest in the league.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 7th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Tyler Higbee's 3.0 adjusted receptions per game this season represents a remarkable diminishment in his receiving prowess over last season's 4.4 mark.

Tyler Higbee has been one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among TEs, completing a measly 65.0% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 23rd percentile.

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