My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Los Angeles Rams vs Houston Texans

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-117/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -117.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 60.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

The projections expect the Rams to run the most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.8 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being projected in this game, while ground volume may suffer.

Tyler Higbee has earned a whopping 7.9% of his offense's air yards last year: 77th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

The Texans pass defense has struggled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, allowing an average of 5.79 yards-after-the-catch last year: the 4th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

While Tyler Higbee has earned 16.7% of his team's targets in games he has played last year, the projections expect him to be a much smaller part of Los Angeles's passing attack in this week's contest at 9.0%.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the ramifications it has on all air attack metrics), the offensive line of the Rams grades out as the 5th-worst in football last year.

Last year, the stout Houston Texans defense has conceded a meager 67.0% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing tight ends: the smallest rate in the NFL.

The Texans defensive ends profile as the 5th-best collection of DEs in the league last year in regard to rushing the passer.

More Tyler Higbee Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™