Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Higbee

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Higbee

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 8:21 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Rams will be rolling with backup quarterback Brett Rypien in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
The 9th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Rams this year (a colossal 60.9 per game on average).
Tyler Higbee's 85.4% Route Participation Rate this season signifies a meaningful progression in his passing offense workload over last season's 69.7% figure.
The predictive model expects Tyler Higbee to total 4.4 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the model to run only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The Rams offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
Tyler Higbee has been one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in a measly 65.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.
The Packers pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.7%) versus tight ends this year (70.7%).

More Tyler Higbee Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow