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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams

 
 
 
Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 23.5 @ -113 before it was bet down to 22.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Rams will be rolling with backup quarterback Brett Rypien in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
  • This game's line indicates a passing game script for the Rams, who are -3.5-point underdogs.
  • The 9th-largest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Rams this year (a colossal 60.9 per game on average).
  • Tyler Higbee's 85.4% Route Participation Rate this season signifies a meaningful progression in his passing offense workload over last season's 69.7% figure.
  • The predictive model expects Tyler Higbee to total 4.4 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile when it comes to tight ends.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Rams are forecasted by the model to run only 62.5 total plays in this contest: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
  • The Rams offensive line profiles as the 8th-worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.
  • Tyler Higbee has been one of the least sure-handed receivers in the league among tight ends, hauling in a measly 65.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, ranking in the 24th percentile.
  • The Packers pass defense has surrendered the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (70.7%) versus tight ends this year (70.7%).

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