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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 3

Cincinnati Bengals vs Los Angeles Rams

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 34.5 (-125/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 33.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 34.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Rams as the 6th-most pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 61.7% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The predictive model expects Tyler Higbee to accumulate 5.5 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 89th percentile among tight ends.

Tyler Higbee has been a big part of his team's passing attack, posting a Target Share of 19.0% since the start of last season, which ranks in the 93rd percentile among tight ends.

Tyler Higbee has been among the top tight ends in the pass game since the start of last season, averaging a terrific 37.0 yards per game while checking in at the 90th percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The projections expect the Rams to run the least total plays among all teams this week with 61.4 plays, accounting for their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, higher running volume, and reduced offense results when facing windier conditions this week.

The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 3rd-worst in the NFL since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a negative impact on all pass attack stats across the board.

The Cincinnati Bengals defense has yielded the 4th-least receiving yards per game in the league (just 36.0) vs. tight ends since the start of last season.

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