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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

New York Giants vs Los Angeles Rams

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 24.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 25.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 24.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Based on their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Rams are anticipated by the predictive model to run 65.9 offensive plays in this contest: the 8th-highest number among all teams this week.

The 5th-most plays in the league have been called by the Los Angeles Rams this year (a massive 60.8 per game on average).

Tyler Higbee has been less involved as a potential pass-catcher this year (79.7% Route Participation Rate in games he has been on the field) than he did last year (69.7%).

When talking about air yards, Tyler Higbee grades out in the lofty 76th percentile among TEs this year, averaging a striking 25.0 per game.

Tyler Higbee's 7.0 adjusted yards per target this year shows a noteworthy progression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 5.9 rate.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Rams are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's game, which points towards a rushing game script.

Tyler Higbee has totaled a lot fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (38.0).

Tyler Higbee has been one of the most hard-handed receivers in the NFL among tight ends, completing a mere 67.4% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 18th percentile.

This year, the imposing New York Giants defense has allowed a meager 67.2% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing TEs: the lowest rate in the NFL.

As it relates to safeties in defending pass-catchers, New York's collection of safeties has been very good this year, grading out as the 3rd-best in the league.

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