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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 1

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 42.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 44.5 @ -114 before it was bet down to 42.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Rams are a 4.5-point underdog in this game, likely leading to a passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams as the 7th-most pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 62.3% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 130.0 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to total 6.8 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking in the 99th percentile among tight ends.

Tyler Higbee has been an integral part of his team's pass game, garnering a Target Share of 20.5% since the start of last season, which ranks him in the 98th percentile among TEs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Los Angeles Rams have called the 6th-least plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a measly 54.4 plays per game.

The Los Angeles Rams have played in the 2nd-most "low wind" (4-mph or less) games in football since the start of last season, which ought to result in reduced pass volume, increased running volume, and reduced pass game efficiency when facing windier conditions in this week's contest.

Opposing offenses have averaged 31.4 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense since the start of last season: 9th-least in the league.

Tyler Higbee has been among the least efficient pass-catchers in the NFL among TEs, averaging just 5.92 yards-per-target since the start of last season while grading out in the 15th percentile.

The Seattle Seahawks safeties profile as the 2nd-best safety corps in the league since the start of last season in covering pass-catchers.

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