Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Tyler Higbee

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Higbee

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Los Angeles Rams vs Dallas Cowboys · Week 5, 2022

Updated Oct 9, 2022 11:15 PM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 46.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 5th-most pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 131.9 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing efficiency.
Opposing QBs have averaged 41.0 pass attempts per game vs. the Dallas Cowboys defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to earn 7.6 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.

Favors Under

The Rams are a 5-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
The Los Angeles Rams offensive line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all passing offense metrics across the board.
The Dallas Cowboys defense has conceded the 7th-least receiving yards per game in the NFL (just 33.0) vs. TEs this year.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has shown good efficiency versus TEs this year, yielding 3.91 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in the league.
The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has been quite strong when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.41 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in the NFL.

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