Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 18

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Tyler Higbee

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Higbee

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Seattle Seahawks vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 18, 2022

Updated Jan 9, 2023 1:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 40.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 36.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 40.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup quarterback Baker Mayfield in this contest, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
The Rams are a 5.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to accumulate 7.1 targets in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 99th percentile among tight ends.
Tyler Higbee has been among the top tight ends in the pass game this year, averaging an impressive 38.0 yards per game while ranking in the 86th percentile.
Tyler Higbee's ability to pick up extra yardage has been refined this year, notching 6.03 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) vs a measly 3.51 figure last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 4th-least total plays among all teams this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have run the 6th-least plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.3 plays per game.
Opposing teams have averaged 33.3 pass attempts per game versus the Seattle Seahawks defense this year: 9th-least in the league.
Tyler Higbee has been less involved as a potential target this season (69.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (85.1%).
Tyler Higbee has accrued significantly fewer air yards this season (20.0 per game) than he did last season (32.0 per game).

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