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Tyler Higbee

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Los Angeles Chargers vs Los Angeles Rams

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 39.5 (+110/-145).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 40.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 39.5 @ -145.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Los Angeles Rams will be starting backup QB Baker Mayfield in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.

The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog in this week's contest, likely creating a passing game script.

The Rams rank as the 10th-most pass-centric team in the NFL (adjusted for context) this year with a 61.5% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing efficiency.

THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to garner 7.7 targets in this week's game, on average, ranking him in the 98th percentile among tight ends.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Rams to run the 3rd-least offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Los Angeles Rams have called the 8th-least plays in the league this year, totaling a lowly 54.9 plays per game.

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 33.9 pass attempts per game against the Los Angeles Chargers defense this year: 10th-least in the league.

Tyler Higbee has totaled quite a few less air yards this season (21.0 per game) than he did last season (32.0 per game).

The Los Angeles Rams O-line grades out as the 9th-worst in football this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all air attack metrics across the board.

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