Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Tyler Higbee

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Higbee

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 20, 2022 1:16 AM EST

Analysis

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 25.5 (-105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Rams will be forced to utilize backup QB Baker Mayfield this week, which typically means fewer pass attempts and more rushing.
The Rams are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
The weatherman calls for 3-mph wind in this game. Low wind generally means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Tyler Higbee to total 5.8 targets in this contest, on average, putting him in the 92nd percentile among tight ends.
Tyler Higbee has been among the best pass-game TEs this year, averaging a stellar 36.0 yards per game while grading out in the 86th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 6th-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 58.6% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Rams to call the least offensive plays among all teams this week with 60.5 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
The Los Angeles Rams have called the least plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.9 plays per game.
Opposing offenses have averaged 30.3 pass attempts per game vs. the Green Bay Packers defense this year: least in football.
Tyler Higbee has been used less as a potential target this season (69.8% Route% in games he has been on the field) than he did last season (85.1%).

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