Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 12

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Tyler Higbee

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Higbee

TE · Los Angeles Rams

Receiving Yards

Kansas City Chiefs vs Los Angeles Rams · Week 12, 2022

Updated Nov 28, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Higbee Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 31.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 31.5 @ -109 before it was bet up to 31.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Los Angeles Rams will be rolling out backup QB Bryce Perkins this week, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
The Rams are a giant 16.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Los Angeles Rams to be the 5th-most pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 63.5% pass rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-highest volume of plays run among all games this week at 132.7 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.1 pass attempts per game versus the Kansas City Chiefs defense this year: 2nd-most in the NFL.

Favors Under

The Los Angeles Rams O-line profiles as the worst in football this year in protecting the passer, which has a negative effect on all passing game stats across the board.
Tyler Higbee's receiving reliability have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 74.6% to 64.2%.
Tyler Higbee's receiving effectiveness has worsened this season, averaging just 5.91 yards-per-target vs a 7.11 mark last season.
The Kansas City Chiefs pass defense has excelled when opposing TEs have gotten into space, conceding an average of 3.76 yards-after-the-catch this year: the least in football.
The Kansas City Chiefs linebackers rank as the 6th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering receivers.

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