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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receptions
Player Prop Week 8

New England Patriots vs New York Jets

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -165 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Right now, the 3rd-most pass-oriented team in the NFL (64.6% adjusted for context) according to the projection model is the New York Jets.

Tyler Conklin's 83.2% Route Participation Rate this season reflects a meaningful boost in his passing game usage over last season's 67.7% figure.

The leading projections forecast Tyler Conklin to earn 4.2 targets in this contest, on average, placing him in the 77th percentile among tight ends.

The Jets offensive line profiles as the 3rd-best in football this year in pass protection, which has a positive effect on all pass game stats across the board.

With a remarkable 3.3 adjusted catches per game (76th percentile) this year, Tyler Conklin stands among the top pass-game TEs in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A running game script is implied by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this game.

The predictive model expects the Jets to run the 2nd-fewest offensive plays on the slate this week with 62.0 plays, accounting for their underlying traits and game dynamics.

The New England Patriots pass defense has given up the 7th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (69.5%) versus TEs this year (69.5%).

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