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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receptions
Player Prop Week 7

Pittsburgh Steelers vs New York Jets

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 2.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets rank as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 68.3% pass rate.

The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

Tyler Conklin has run fewer routes this season (83.2% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (67.7%).

The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Tyler Conklin comes in as one of the best pass-catching TEs this year, averaging a terrific 3.2 adjusted receptions per game while grading out in the 81st percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.

This year, the fierce Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded a mere 70.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 9th-smallest rate in football.

The Steelers safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

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