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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Jets

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-122/-106).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +102 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -106.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New York Jets to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip among all teams this week.

The New York Jets offense has played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.51 seconds per play.

Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.

Tyler Conklin has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (82.3% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (67.7%).

When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Jets profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72.7%) vs. TEs this year (72.7%).

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