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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers

 
 
 
Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-108/-121).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -121.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets will be forced to start backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Jets are a 3-point underdog in this week's game, likely creating a passing game script.
  • Given the game dynamics and the underlying tendencies of each team, this game is anticipated by the predictive model to see 130.6 total plays run: the 4th-most among all games this week.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 39.7 pass attempts per game versus the Chargers defense this year: 4th-most in the league.
  • In this game, Tyler Conklin is anticipated by the projection model to secure a spot in the 84th percentile among tight ends with 4.7 targets.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 58.8% of their chances: the lowest rate among all teams this week.
  • The Jets have called the fewest plays in the league this year, totaling a mere 52.9 plays per game.
  • The New York O-line ranks as the worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful influence on all air attack statistics across the board.

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