Tyler Conklin Receptions - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Tyler Conklin

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Conklin

TE · New York Jets

Receptions

New York Giants vs New York Jets · Week 8, 2023

Updated Oct 29, 2023 4:36 PM EST

Analysis

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-175/+145).

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Jets may throw the ball less in this game (and call more carries) because they be forced to utilize backup QB Zach Wilson.
In this week's game, Tyler Conklin is projected by the projection model to find himself in the 81st percentile among TEs with 4.9 targets.
Tyler Conklin has been in the 85th percentile for TE WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that quantifies high-value offensive involvement) with a colossal 33.7 figure this year.
With an outstanding 3.4 adjusted catches per game (79th percentile) this year, Tyler Conklin ranks among the best tight ends in the pass game in the NFL.
Tyler Conklin's 81.0% Adjusted Catch% this season represents a significant improvement in his pass-catching proficiency over last season's 71.7% rate.

Favors Under

The Jets are a 3-point favorite in this week's game, likely leading to a rushing game script.
Accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the New York Jets to pass on 56.0% of their plays: the 10th-lowest rate on the slate this week.
Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are forecasted by our trusted projection set to run only 63.4 plays on offense in this contest: the 10th-lowest number among all teams this week.
The 3rd-smallest volume of plays in the league have been run by the Jets this year (a mere 52.0 per game on average).
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been wary to lean on the pass against the New York Giants, averaging the 5th-fewest attempts in the league (a lowly 32.9 per game) this year.

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