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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Washington Commanders

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 3.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the present time, the 9th-most pass-focused team in the NFL (63.4% context-neutralized) according to the projection model is the Jets.

At a mere 27.18 seconds per play, the New York Jets offense profiles as the 10th-fastest paced in the NFL (in a neutral context) this year.

The passing offenses of both teams (in terms of both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (4-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while ground volume may go down.

In this game, Tyler Conklin is predicted by the predictive model to position himself in the 81st percentile among TEs with 5.1 targets.

Tyler Conklin rates in the 88th percentile for tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that weighs high-value offensive volume) with a remarkable 34.7 mark this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is suggested by the Jets being a 3-point favorite in this week's game.

The Jets O-line profiles as the 2nd-worst in football this year in pass protection, which has a negative effect on all passing attack stats across the board.

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