My Account Log Out

reorder

Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receptions
Player Prop Week 15

Miami Dolphins vs New York Jets

Tyler Conklin Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-135/+105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ +132 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -7-point disadvantage, the Jets are enormous underdogs in this week's contest, suggesting much more of a reliance on moving the ball through the air than their usual approach.

Given their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the New York Jets to pass on 60.9% of their opportunities: the 7th-highest frequency on the slate this week.

The projections expect Tyler Conklin to garner 5.0 targets in this week's game, on balance, placing him in the 81st percentile when it comes to tight ends.

Tyler Conklin slots into the 88th percentile when it comes to tight end WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that calculates high-value offensive volume) with an astounding 34.4 figure this year.

Tyler Conklin profiles as one of the leading pass-catching tight ends this year, averaging a fantastic 3.6 adjusted catches per game while checking in at the 81st percentile.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the predictive model to call only 63.3 total plays in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.

The New York Jets have called the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.9 plays per game.

When talking about pocket protection (and the ramifications it has on all pass attack statistics), the offensive line of the New York Jets ranks as the 2nd-worst in the league this year.

As it relates to safeties in covering receivers, Miami's group of safeties has been exceptional this year, ranking as the 3rd-best in football.

More Tyler Conklin Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™