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Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-120/-110).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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The Jets rank as the 2nd-most pass-heavy offense in the league (context-neutralized) this year with a 68.3% pass rate.The weather report calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and reduced run volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.Tyler Conklin has run fewer routes this season (83.2% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (67.7%).The New York Jets O-line profiles as the 3rd-best in the league this year in pass protection, which has a positive influence on all passing attack statistics across the board.Tyler Conklin ranks as one of the best pass-game tight ends this year, averaging a stellar 33.0 adjusted yards per game while checking in at the 79th percentile.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics, the New York Jets are expected by the predictive model to run just 62.4 total plays in this contest: the 5th-fewest among all teams this week.After accumulating 39.0 air yards per game last season, Tyler Conklin has seen a big decrease this season, currently sitting at 30.0 per game.This year, the fierce Pittsburgh Steelers defense has yielded a mere 70.5% Adjusted Completion Rate versus opposing TEs: the 9th-smallest rate in football.This year, the formidable Pittsburgh Steelers defense has allowed the 4th-least adjusted yards-per-target in the NFL to opposing tight ends: a paltry 5.9 yards.The Steelers safeties grade out as the 5th-best unit in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.
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