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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Minnesota Vikings vs New York Jets

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 24.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Jets to pass on 61.1% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate on the slate this week.

Given their underlying traits and game dynamics, the Jets are forecasted by the projection model to call 65.3 offensive plays in this contest: the 5th-highest number on the slate this week.

This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.

Opposing QBs have averaged 45.0 pass attempts per game against the Minnesota Vikings defense this year: most in the league.

Tyler Conklin's 90.2% Route Participation Rate this year represents a meaningful progression in his air attack volume over last year's 67.7% figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Jets are a 4-point favorite in this week's contest, which points towards a rushing game script.

Tyler Conklin's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate falling off from 74.3% to 64.5%.

As it relates to linebackers in covering pass-catchers, Minnesota's collection of LBs has been terrific this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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