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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Rams

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 29.5 @ -190 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Jets are a 3-point underdog this week, indicating a passing game script.

Our trusted projections expect the New York Jets as the 5th-most pass-centric offense on the slate this week with a 61.9% pass rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projections to see 133.4 total plays called: the 3rd-most out of all the games this week.

Tyler Conklin's 81.8% Route Participation Rate this season indicates a material progression in his pass game volume over last season's 67.7% rate.

When talking about protecting the passer (and the positive impact it has on all air attack stats), the O-line of the Jets grades out as the 5th-best in the NFL this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The 7th-fewest plays in the league have been called by the Jets this year (a mere 55.6 per game on average).

Opposing quarterbacks teams have been unwilling to rely on the passing game too much against the Los Angeles Rams, totaling the 7th-fewest attempts in the NFL (a mere 32.5 per game) this year.

After averaging 39.0 air yards per game last year, Tyler Conklin has fallen off this year, now sitting at 22.0 per game.

Tyler Conklin's 25.0 adjusted yards per game through the air this year signifies a material regression in his pass-catching ability over last year's 36.0 figure.

The Rams pass defense has surrendered the 9th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in football (72.9%) to TEs this year (72.9%).

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