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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 10

Arizona Cardinals vs New York Jets

 
 
 
Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the New York Jets to pass on 61.0% of their plays: the 4th-highest clip among all teams this week.
  • The New York Jets offense has played at the 10th-quickest pace in the league (in a neutral context) this year, averaging 28.51 seconds per play.
  • Still weather conditions (like the 2-mph wind being called for in this game) typically lead to better passing efficiency, higher touchdown potential, higher pass volume, and lower rush volume.
  • Tyler Conklin has been used less as a potential pass-catcher this season (82.3% Route Participation% in games he has played) than he did last season (67.7%).
  • When talking about pass protection (and the positive impact it has on all passing offense statistics), the O-line of the Jets profiles as the 6th-best in football this year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • After averaging 39.0 air yards per game last year, Tyler Conklin has produced significantly fewer this year, currently sitting at 24.0 per game.
  • Tyler Conklin has totaled substantially fewer adjusted receiving yards per game (29.0) this season than he did last season (36.0).
  • The Arizona Cardinals pass defense has allowed the 8th-lowest Adjusted Completion% in the league (72.7%) vs. TEs this year (72.7%).

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