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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 6

New York Jets vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 28.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 28.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The New York Jets may pass less in this contest (and hand the ball off more) since they be rolling with backup QB Zach Wilson.
  • The Jets are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely creating a passing game script.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, allowing opposing QBs to attempt the 3rd-most passes in football (41.0 per game) this year.
  • In this game, Tyler Conklin is expected by the projections to secure a spot in the 84th percentile among TEs with 5.2 targets.
  • Tyler Conklin's 34.5 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced metric that measures high-value offensive volume) ranks among the best in the league: 86th percentile for TEs.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Jets have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Nathaniel Hackett, and our trusted projections expect their pass/run mix to skew 1.1% more towards rushing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • Right now, the 5th-slowest paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the predictive model is the New York Jets.
  • Tyler Conklin has totaled significantly fewer air yards this year (29.0 per game) than he did last year (38.0 per game).
  • The Eagles linebackers project as the 10th-best group of LBs in the league this year in pass coverage.

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