Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 5

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Tyler Conklin

NFL · Player Props

Tyler Conklin

TE · New York Jets

Receiving Yards

Denver Broncos vs New York Jets · Week 5, 2023

Updated Oct 9, 2023 12:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 27.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The New York Jets will be forced to use backup QB Zach Wilson in this game, which usually means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.
In this contest, Tyler Conklin is predicted by the projections to place in the 82nd percentile when it comes to tight ends with 5.0 targets.
Tyler Conklin has been heavily involved in his team's passing offense, posting a Target Share of 16.2% this year, which ranks him in the 87th percentile among tight ends.
With an outstanding 32.0 adjusted yards per game on passes (77th percentile) this year, Tyler Conklin rates as one of the best TE receiving threats in the NFL.
Tyler Conklin's 76.8% Adjusted Completion Rate this year signifies a a substantial growth in his receiving proficiency over last year's 71.7% mark.

Favors Under

Based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics, the New York Jets are anticipated by the projection model to run just 61.1 plays on offense in this game: the 5th-lowest number on the slate this week.
The New York Jets have called the fewest plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 49.5 plays per game.
Tyler Conklin has posted quite a few less air yards this year (30.0 per game) than he did last year (38.0 per game).

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