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Tyler Conklin

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New York Jets

Tyler Conklin Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 22.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The New York Jets will be starting backup quarterback Zach Wilson in this contest, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rushes.

The Jets are an enormous 8.5-point underdog this week, likely creating an extreme passing game script.

THE BLITZ projects the New York Jets as the 4th-most pass-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 63.9% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

The New York Jets have played in the 2nd-most "bad weather" (rain, snow, or 15+ mph wind) games in the NFL since the start of last season, which ought to result in higher pass volume, reduced running volume, and improved pass game performance when facing better conditions in this week's contest.

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Jets to call the 4th-least offensive plays among all teams this week with 61.8 plays, given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has shown good efficiency versus TEs since the start of last season, yielding 5.78 yards-per-target to the position: the 3rd-least in football.

The Dallas Cowboys pass defense has excelled when opposing tight ends have gotten into space, giving up an average of 3.92 yards-after-the-catch since the start of last season: the 9th-least in the NFL.

The Dallas Cowboys safeties project as the 10th-best group of safeties in the NFL since the start of last season in covering receivers.

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